Entries by Rudolf Huber

The value of the anchor customer in LNG projects

When Nigeria LNG started operations in 1999, it had become the LNG project that has gone to FID with the longest lead time from “first conception” to realization ever. There was a first idea for the project as early as 1974 – at least, that’s the earliest I know. There is one project lagging even […]

The Energy Industrial Complex is dead

Who remembers what a film roll for photographic film from Kodak Eastman is? Once upon a time, photography was a perfect business. To have some memories of – whatever – you needed a big clunky camera that you had to buy expensively plus you needed those film roles in varying qualities and sensitivities depending on […]

World – meet Methanumorphosis

It’s almost 9 years ago I was asked to perform an in-company introductory course on LNG for the employees of the company I worked for at the time. It was a short 3-hour affair and I threw in everything I could scratch. In the end, I just got known as Mr. LNG – a title […]

How Virtual Reality gives us a life lift

I have already written about Oculus Rift and other systems and how they are going to impact business travel or education. But one might believe that this technological revolution will take decades to take hold in the mainstream as it’s the fad of some geeks, business or technology-wise. Really? Many years back, at the end […]

The end of diesel

This article was written in summer 2015, before the break of the VW scandal as it was published in NGV. I just forgot to publish it here so far but don’t want to alter the original article so – enjoy. Imagine a world without diesel. It has been the backbone of modern logistics for as […]

Drowning in LPG

Anyone checking regularly on the oil price must blush from time to time. One of the consequences of the lower oil price is that the world is currently drowning in other oil-related products as well and there is worse to come as some of those effects spill over onto the non-oil patch. Fast focus on […]

Fighting the wrong war

It’s a staple of the green movement. CO2 is bad for the planet. It causes global warming and will eventually make us fry in hell. Behold Venus. This has been conventional wisdom since I can think – at least since I know that environmental protection is a worthy goal that deserves our best efforts. It’s […]

The end of the oil price cycle

Since my earliest days in the Natural Gas business, I have been exposed to a few notions that had a hollow ring to them from day one. The oil price link drew my most immediate suspicion although it took years until I could express my scorn with this antiquated mechanism in the open. In the […]

Are diesel emissions a human rights violation?

The European Convention of Human Rights (ECHR) was born on September 3rd 1953. It took a rather long time from then until it became an integral part of various national laws but today citizens of most European countries can directly invoke it before national courts to protect their rights. Article 2 of the ECHR (Wikipedia) […]

Persian gas for the emerging Gulf gas market

One of the first assignments I had, when I joined the gas world, was the negotiations with Iran on gas supply for the Nabucco pipeline. I jumped right into a process that was already pretty mature but it struck me very soon that despite the hype around Nabucco, I had a hard time making economic […]

For our children – and ourselves

It’s more than 3 years now that I have been fighting for some improved quality of life in Austria and Europe and it’s time to take a hard stance. In the end, VW has been caught with its hands in the Cookie jar so what better time could there be? Fine Particulate Matter (PM) is […]

Use it or lose it for African flares

Africa – just like many other regions on Earth – suffers from a double-edged problem. On one side, enormous amounts of natural gas are being flared every single day and this gas comes as associated gas to the surface with the oil that is produced at the same time. On the other side, many African countries and regions suffer energy and fuel shortages making everything difficult and expensive to […]

The great EURO 6 scam

Now it’s official. Since September 1st this year, all new diesel vehicles sold in the European Union must comply with the EURO 6 standard. EURO 6 is by any measure the most severe limitation of nasty pollutants that are allowed out of the exhaust shaft of a vehicle in and around the European Union and […]

Pax Americana on steroids

Is there still anyone who is not in awe of what the shale revolution has done to the planet? Whatever one might think of the environmental suitability of fracturing rock deep in the earth to extract oil and gas, one cannot deny that the world has changed beyond recognition. For the first time in many […]

My 28 Dollar WTI wager

In July 2014 I made a wager. I said that before March 2016 (don’t ask me why this date, it just sprung into existence out of nothingness) WTI would go below 28 USD. We have seen a huge slide in the oil price over the last 12 months so I refined my stance in February […]

Human spare parts galore – the next 10 years

What’s the biggest killer on planet Earth? It’s not the Islamic State or some other conflict. It’s not even cancer, bad driving, or cataclysms of Mother Nature. It’s a much more terrifying opponent – heart failure. A whopping third of the world’s population succumbs to some form of cardiac arrest at some point in life […]

Is your energy job safe?

A couple of days ago I had a conversation with a trader friend who has migrated into the consulting business. His journey was the result of a bit of involuntary arm twisting to be sure as this was not what he had planned for in his life, but the job market for traders is generally […]

Is shale a blessing in disguise for OPEC

How many times have I written about the implications of shale on oil? For an LNG guy I have a strange obsession with that but look at the fundamentals and the picture is clear. Oil is still the big bully out there and it dominates the entire energy world hands down. So, anything that happens […]

LPG in Africa – may the games commence

It is difficult not to be stunned by what happens in energy nowadays. Prices were stratospheric for many years and suddenly have dropped to less than half only to regain a little over the last weeks and months. Renegade drillers in the US have shaken decade-old certainties and created the shale MasterBlaster. Nothing in my […]

The Matrix cometh – and you will get plugged in

Who has not seen the movie “The Matrix”? As incredible as it seems, there still seem to be those who have not. I guess none of my readers responds to this challenge so I skip the storyline and the cast. One of the defining scenes of the first installment was when Cypher (the traitor) had a meeting with Agent […]

Don’t try to avoid the F-word in LNG

There is a German saying. He, who does a voyage, shall have stories to tell. This certainly applies to the LNG business and to any newcomer getting his first chills from it. It’s all exciting but after the first few missteps (oh trust me, there will be plenty) the F-word starts to creep into your […]

Why pigs should not sing

After nearly a decade in LNG, I tend to believe that I should have seen everything under the sun – but that conviction turns to shreds just an instant after when I see the next hilarious piece of LNG news. When I started to get serious on the matter in 2005, I quickly realized that […]

OPEC’s catch 22

This is not my first post on the current oil price dilemma and I have a hunch that there will be more to come in terms of even lower prices. From today’s vantage point it looks a bit like the new ruler of the kingdom has stabilized the slide but nothing could be further from […]

Was shale a frackin bubble?

Those who have spent the last 10 years in oil and gas were in for the ride of their lifetime. Those who have spent far longer in the industry will look back at the nuttiest 10 years of their entire careers. We have gone from peak fear to boom and now gloom with lots of […]

AGRI and a new energy future for the Black Sea region

2011 I was briefly involved in a project called AGRI – the Azerbaijan, Georgia, Romania Interconnector. I was intrigued because even if this project was daring and exotic, it had immediate appeal to me. But I underestimated the signs of the time. Big-ticket pipeline projects were sucking off much-needed media exposure and political will. A […]

The rebirth of the real economy

More than 6 years ago – in 2008 – something big happened. The world economy took its first big knock from which it has not recovered since. For many, it has set in motion a spiral that threatens to blow our livelihoods apart. Who would not be intimidated? But something else happens, something much more […]

How to beat chicken and egg in LNG bunkering

Just imagine it’s Christmas but nobody is there. That’s a bit of what LNG for bunkering feels like. It has it all: LNG is cleaner than anything else cutting some cheese with the environmentalists, it’s cheaper than diesel which must make sense to the shippers, and when you put the cost of scrubbing in it […]

The future of labor

A couple of days ago I was engaged in an online discussion about joblessness at age 45 and beyond. I was struck by the obvious magnitude of the problem and also by the sometimes extreme honesty with which the participants described their fates. One of the moderators then tried to make everyone comfortable by assuming […]

You might well be the one and only

How many times have you had a great idea but your in-built censure mechanism prevented you from spilling it to the world? I bet any of you had countless of those moments. Great ideas are extremely frequent. So frequent in fact, we all have them more often than we change our undies. I know that […]

The Pharaoh dimension – LNG in Egypt

One in three Arabs worldwide lives on the banks of the Nile. That makes the oldest culture on earth the Arab heavyweight. Unfortunately, modern Egypt has made the headlines more than once in the very recent past. It’s not the kind of news that we would wish this tormented country but believe it or not, […]

Evolution in the LNG garden

Modern man with all his marvels is roaming the planet because of a simple, yet powerful mechanism called Evolution. It’s simple because it mechanically tries out every possible pathway to find what works best. It also eliminates those solutions, that have not worked well. Simple, as this mechanism may be, it yet has ensured humanity’s […]

Where is the oil-price headed?

If one does a long-term project, one needs good forecasts. But what is a good forecast? The one which gives you the truth – or something reasonably close to it. Judging by past performance, all this crystal ball gazing has so far only delivered paltry results – at the very best. Most of the forecasts […]

Oculus rift – a revolution in waiting

For the technophiles among us – Oculus Rift is a revolution that will buzz gaming aficionados by mid-next year. And we all wait eagerly. It’s all too easy to dismiss it as a pure gaming gimmick but if one looks a little deeper, a lot more lies beneath and that will rattle many things we […]

80 USD oil is not cheap

I am feeling a little like in a warp bubble – don’t you? Browsing the news feeds I am swamped with posts about projects that are not doing well because the oil price is so low, and countries are in trouble. After all, the oil price is so low, that markets in panic because the […]

The last wonderland for LPG and condensate exporters

The world of those who trade liquefied gasses and light condensate products is in turmoil. At last, the ripples of the US shale revolution are hitting the refinery products markets. And they leave no stone unturned just as shale has already made billion-dollar LNG projects go up in flames. LPG prices worldwide go down and […]

The real hybrid car – not just a Prius

Since Toyota has bequeathed the Prius to us, all eyes are on hybrid cars. And it’s hard not to admire the technology that has gone in. It’s also hard not to have a heart attack at the sight of the price tag that comes with a Prius – or indeed other hybrid cars. This technology […]

The demise of the dinosaurs – some parallels

65 million years ago, dinosaurs ruled the planet. They had conquered every niche of life and ruled the elements. Huge marine Dinos dominated the seas, the biggest land animals ever roamed the planet and the skies were full of airborne Dinos with wingspans that rival today’s biggest sailplanes. However, were they alone? Of course, they […]